Brisbane Roar vs Newcastle Jets analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.9%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.5%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
32.8%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brisbane Roar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2018 |
MEL
1 - 2
BRI
53%
24%
23%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
BRI
1 - 2
MCI
33%
25%
42%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2018 |
CCM
1 - 2
BRI
37%
26%
37%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2018 |
BRI
2 - 3
CER
92%
7%
2%
|
69 | 28 | 41 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2018 |
BRI
3 - 2
PER
45%
25%
30%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Newcastle Jets
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2018 |
WES
2 - 2
NEW
43%
26%
31%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2018 |
NEW
2 - 0
MEL
38%
26%
37%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | +3 |
| 25 Jan. 2018 |
MCI
2 - 2
NEW
55%
24%
21%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2018 |
NEW
2 - 3
WPH
53%
24%
24%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 Jan. 2018 |
NEW
1 - 0
BRI
47%
25%
29%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | +1 |