Brisbane Roar vs Melbourne Victory analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.9%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.9%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.9%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
41.5%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.3%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
+4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
17
2º
10º
9º
24
1º
6º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
24 | 48 |
1º
|
31% | |
|
4º
|
18 | 46 |
2º
|
19% | |
|
2º
|
24 | 46 |
3º
|
18% | |
|
3º
|
21 | 45 |
4º
|
13% | |
|
6º
|
18 | 43 |
5º
|
14.5% | |
|
5º
|
18 | 39 |
6º
|
17% | |
|
9º
|
15 | 37 |
7º
|
14.5% | |
|
7º
|
18 | 36 |
8º
|
20% | |
|
|
8º
|
17 | 36 |
9º
|
18.5% | |
|
10º
|
13 | 29 |
10º
|
32% | |
|
11º
|
8 | 23 |
11º
|
33.5% | |
|
12º
|
7 | 22 |
12º
|
46.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Champions League Elite
|
1% | 31% |
|
Next round
|
27.5% | 63.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
71.5% | 5.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brisbane Roar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2024 |
BRI
2 - 2
WUF
47%
25%
28%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
PER
3 - 2
BRI
40%
25%
35%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
BRI
5 - 1
MCI
24%
25%
51%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | +2 |
| 02 Feb. 2024 |
BRI
1 - 1
WPH
32%
26%
42%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
CCM
2 - 0
BRI
71%
17%
12%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Melbourne Victory
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
MEL
0 - 1
CCM
35%
25%
40%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2024 |
MEL
2 - 1
WUF
63%
21%
16%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
MCI
0 - 0
MEL
50%
24%
26%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
MEL
0 - 1
MFC
54%
23%
23%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
NEW
1 - 1
MEL
27%
25%
48%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | 0 |