Brisbane Roar vs Melbourne Victory analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.2%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.3%
1-0
7%
2-1
8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.8%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
40.7%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.2%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brisbane Roar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jul. 2017 |
QUE
0 - 2
BRI
6%
13%
80%
|
69 | 34 | 35 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2017 |
BRI
2 - 3
ULS
37%
25%
39%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
MEL
1 - 0
BRI
56%
23%
21%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2017 |
MUA
3 - 0
BRI
25%
23%
52%
|
72 | 60 | 12 | -2 |
| 21 Apr. 2017 |
BRI
1 - 1
WES
48%
25%
27%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Melbourne Victory
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2017 |
BEN
0 - 5
MEL
7%
14%
79%
|
74 | 39 | 35 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2017 |
POR
0 - 3
MEL
5%
12%
83%
|
74 | 27 | 47 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2017 |
SYD
1 - 1
MEL
47%
26%
28%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
MEL
1 - 0
BRI
56%
23%
21%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2017 |
MEL
1 - 0
CCM
71%
18%
11%
|
76 | 61 | 15 | -1 |