Brisbane Roar vs Melbourne Victory analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.5%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.3%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.2%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
39.7%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.8%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brisbane Roar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
ADE
2 - 3
BRI
50%
25%
25%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2015 |
SUW
3 - 1
BRI
51%
24%
25%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2015 |
BRI
6 - 1
CCM
58%
24%
19%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
MCI
1 - 0
BRI
50%
27%
23%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2015 |
BRI
1 - 4
WES
58%
25%
17%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Melbourne Victory
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2015 |
MEL
0 - 1
NEW
72%
17%
10%
|
77 | 62 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2015 |
WPH
0 - 3
MEL
36%
25%
39%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 2015 |
MEL
2 - 1
CCM
67%
20%
13%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
ADE
2 - 2
MEL
39%
25%
35%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2015 |
WES
0 - 3
MEL
37%
24%
39%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |