Brisbane Roar vs Melbourne Victory analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.8%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
23.5%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brisbane Roar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
WPH
0 - 2
BRI
45%
25%
30%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2012 |
CCM
0 - 2
BRI
47%
26%
28%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
BRI
0 - 1
NEW
67%
20%
13%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2012 |
MEL
1 - 1
BRI
40%
28%
32%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2012 |
BRI
2 - 1
SYD
58%
23%
19%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Melbourne Victory
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2012 |
MEL
2 - 1
CCM
40%
26%
34%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2012 |
MEL
0 - 0
MEL
44%
27%
29%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2012 |
MEL
1 - 1
GOL
53%
25%
22%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2012 |
MEL
2 - 2
SYD
50%
25%
24%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
PER
4 - 1
MEL
37%
26%
37%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | -1 |