Brisbane Roar vs Melbourne Victory analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.1%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.8%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
33.6%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brisbane Roar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2006 |
PER
0 - 2
BRI
67%
20%
14%
|
64 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2006 |
ADE
4 - 2
BRI
64%
22%
14%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 2005 |
BRI
1 - 1
NZK
65%
20%
15%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2005 |
CCM
2 - 2
BRI
64%
22%
15%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2005 |
BRI
0 - 1
NEW
44%
26%
30%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Melbourne Victory
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jan. 2006 |
ADE
1 - 0
MEL
45%
26%
29%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2005 |
MEL
2 - 2
PER
39%
26%
35%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2005 |
SYD
2 - 1
MEL
48%
25%
27%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2005 |
NZK
2 - 3
MEL
27%
26%
47%
|
74 | 56 | 18 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2005 |
MEL
0 - 2
CCM
48%
26%
27%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | -1 |