Brisbane Roar vs Melbourne Heart analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.1%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
16.1%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brisbane Roar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
CCM
1 - 0
BRI
48%
25%
27%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
BRI
1 - 1
MEL
44%
25%
32%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2013 |
ADE
0 - 1
BRI
44%
26%
30%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 2013 |
NEW
0 - 0
BRI
35%
26%
39%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
BRI
2 - 0
WPH
56%
24%
20%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Melbourne Heart
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
MEL
1 - 3
WES
36%
29%
35%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2013 |
MEL
0 - 2
ADE
44%
28%
28%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
WPH
1 - 0
MEL
47%
26%
26%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
MEL
3 - 1
SYD
43%
27%
30%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 2013 |
NEW
2 - 0
MEL
43%
27%
30%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | -1 |