Brisbane Roar vs Melbourne City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.1%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.3%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.3%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
51.1%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
9.2%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.6%
0-3
5%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.5%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
-6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
17
2º
10º
9º
18
3º
12º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
24 | 48 |
1º
|
31% | |
|
4º
|
18 | 46 |
2º
|
19% | |
|
2º
|
24 | 46 |
3º
|
18% | |
|
3º
|
21 | 45 |
4º
|
13% | |
|
|
6º
|
18 | 43 |
5º
|
14.5% | |
|
5º
|
18 | 39 |
6º
|
17% | |
|
9º
|
15 | 37 |
7º
|
14.5% | |
|
7º
|
18 | 36 |
8º
|
20% | |
|
|
8º
|
17 | 36 |
9º
|
18.5% | |
|
10º
|
13 | 29 |
10º
|
32% | |
|
11º
|
8 | 23 |
11º
|
33.5% | |
|
12º
|
7 | 22 |
12º
|
46.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Champions League Elite
|
1% | 12% |
|
Next round
|
27.5% | 67% |
|
Mid-table
|
71.5% | 21% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brisbane Roar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2024 |
BRI
1 - 1
WPH
32%
26%
42%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
CCM
2 - 0
BRI
71%
17%
12%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2024 |
NEW
3 - 1
BRI
37%
25%
38%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 2024 |
BRI
1 - 3
MFC
43%
26%
32%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | -2 |
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
BRI
3 - 2
NEW
47%
26%
27%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Melbourne City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2024 |
PER
4 - 2
MCI
22%
24%
54%
|
73 | 59 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2024 |
MCI
1 - 0
ADE
53%
23%
24%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
CCM
2 - 1
MCI
49%
23%
29%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Jan. 2024 |
MCI
0 - 1
WES
55%
23%
23%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2024 |
WUF
1 - 2
MCI
21%
24%
55%
|
74 | 62 | 12 | 0 |