Brisbane Roar vs Melbourne City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.1%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.8%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.5%
22%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22%
58.9%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
10%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.1%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.1%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.4%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brisbane Roar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jan. 2020 |
WES
1 - 2
BRI
58%
23%
19%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2019 |
NEW
1 - 1
BRI
56%
23%
20%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2019 |
BRI
0 - 2
WUF
30%
28%
42%
|
61 | 73 | 12 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 2019 |
SYD
5 - 1
BRI
72%
18%
10%
|
61 | 77 | 16 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2019 |
BRI
2 - 0
CCM
48%
24%
29%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Melbourne City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jan. 2020 |
MCI
3 - 2
WUF
56%
22%
22%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2019 |
SYD
2 - 1
MCI
44%
24%
31%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2019 |
MCI
1 - 2
MEL
58%
22%
20%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 2019 |
NEW
0 - 4
MCI
31%
25%
44%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | +1 |
| 06 Dec. 2019 |
MCI
0 - 3
PER
51%
24%
25%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | -1 |