Brisbane Roar vs Melbourne City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.1%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.5%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.4%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
29.3%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
7%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.3%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brisbane Roar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
CCM
0 - 1
BRI
28%
27%
45%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2015 |
BRI
2 - 1
WPH
48%
25%
27%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Dec. 2015 |
WES
2 - 1
BRI
43%
27%
31%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 2015 |
NEW
1 - 1
BRI
36%
27%
37%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2015 |
BRI
1 - 1
MCI
51%
25%
23%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Melbourne City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 2015 |
MCI
2 - 1
MEL
48%
23%
30%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
NEW
0 - 4
MCI
36%
28%
36%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2015 |
CCM
1 - 5
MCI
33%
29%
39%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2015 |
MCI
5 - 1
PER
47%
28%
25%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 2015 |
BRI
1 - 1
MCI
51%
25%
23%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |