Brisbane Roar vs Melbourne City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.2%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.7%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
23.3%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brisbane Roar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
BRI
1 - 0
PER
48%
25%
27%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2015 |
SYD
0 - 0
BRI
49%
24%
27%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
BRI
3 - 0
ADE
47%
25%
28%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
WPH
3 - 2
BRI
42%
26%
32%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | -2 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
BRI
2 - 1
CCM
59%
23%
18%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Melbourne City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2015 |
MCI
0 - 3
WES
55%
23%
22%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2015 |
ADE
2 - 4
MCI
49%
26%
25%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | +2 |
| 30 Oct. 2015 |
MCI
2 - 3
NEW
57%
25%
18%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | -2 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
MCI
3 - 1
CCM
55%
26%
19%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2015 |
PER
3 - 1
MCI
60%
20%
21%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | -1 |