Brisbane Roar vs Macarthur FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.3%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.6%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
27.7%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brisbane Roar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2021 |
BRI
5 - 2
MEL
52%
24%
25%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2021 |
BRI
3 - 1
ADE
29%
25%
46%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | +1 |
| 20 Jan. 2021 |
NEW
1 - 2
BRI
49%
25%
26%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2021 |
MEL
1 - 3
BRI
46%
25%
30%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Dec. 2020 |
BRI
0 - 1
MCI
22%
23%
55%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Macarthur FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2021 |
MFC
2 - 2
WES
48%
26%
27%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2021 |
MFC
0 - 3
SYD
43%
25%
33%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2021 |
NEW
1 - 2
MFC
42%
28%
30%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2021 |
MFC
1 - 1
WPH
54%
25%
22%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2021 |
MFC
0 - 2
CCM
73%
18%
9%
|
72 | 57 | 15 | -1 |