Brisbane Roar vs Gold Coast United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.3%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
24.6%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-45%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brisbane Roar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2011 |
NOR
1 - 2
BRI
26%
27%
48%
|
77 | 62 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2011 |
BRI
2 - 1
MEL
58%
23%
20%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2011 |
BRI
2 - 0
WPH
56%
23%
21%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2011 |
CCM
3 - 3
BRI
43%
26%
31%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2011 |
BRI
1 - 1
PER
54%
23%
22%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Gold Coast United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2011 |
GOL
1 - 3
CCM
42%
26%
32%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2011 |
PER
1 - 2
GOL
41%
27%
32%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2011 |
GOL
0 - 0
ADE
46%
26%
28%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2011 |
MEL
2 - 0
GOL
47%
25%
29%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 2011 |
GOL
5 - 1
NEW
55%
26%
19%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | +1 |