Brisbane Roar vs Central Coast Mariners analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.5%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.5%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
43.8%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.1%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
+29%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
17
2º
10º
9º
18
2º
12º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
24 | 48 |
1º
|
31% | |
|
|
4º
|
18 | 46 |
2º
|
19% | |
|
2º
|
24 | 46 |
3º
|
18% | |
|
3º
|
21 | 45 |
4º
|
13% | |
|
6º
|
18 | 43 |
5º
|
14.5% | |
|
5º
|
18 | 39 |
6º
|
17% | |
|
9º
|
15 | 37 |
7º
|
14.5% | |
|
7º
|
18 | 36 |
8º
|
20% | |
|
|
8º
|
17 | 36 |
9º
|
18.5% | |
|
10º
|
13 | 29 |
10º
|
32% | |
|
11º
|
8 | 23 |
11º
|
33.5% | |
|
12º
|
7 | 22 |
12º
|
46.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Champions League Elite
|
1% | 22.5% |
|
Next round
|
27.5% | 68.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
71.5% | 9% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brisbane Roar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2023 |
WUF
2 - 1
BRI
32%
26%
41%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2023 |
ADE
0 - 2
BRI
50%
25%
26%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2023 |
BRI
2 - 2
WES
33%
26%
41%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
BRI
2 - 1
PER
53%
25%
23%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
CCM
1 - 2
BRI
64%
20%
16%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Central Coast Mariners
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
MCI
3 - 3
CCM
44%
24%
32%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2023 |
STA
0 - 3
CCM
4%
11%
86%
|
73 | 27 | 46 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2023 |
CCM
4 - 0
WUF
68%
18%
13%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
CCM
2 - 2
MEL
59%
22%
20%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2023 |
CCM
1 - 1
TER
78%
13%
9%
|
73 | 58 | 15 | 0 |