Brisbane Roar vs Central Coast Mariners analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.6%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.5%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.8%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
20%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.9%
12.5%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brisbane Roar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2017 |
BRI
1 - 0
MEL
36%
26%
38%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
ADE
2 - 1
BRI
40%
26%
35%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 2017 |
KAA
3 - 0
BRI
12%
17%
71%
|
75 | 54 | 21 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
NEW
1 - 3
BRI
31%
26%
43%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2017 |
ULS
6 - 0
BRI
42%
26%
32%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Central Coast Mariners
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2017 |
CCM
2 - 3
ADE
36%
27%
37%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2017 |
SYD
1 - 0
CCM
68%
20%
13%
|
63 | 77 | 14 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
CCM
2 - 3
MCI
22%
26%
52%
|
63 | 77 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2017 |
NEW
1 - 1
CCM
51%
24%
25%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
CCM
0 - 3
MEL
25%
25%
50%
|
64 | 76 | 12 | -1 |