Brisbane Roar vs Central Coast Mariners analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.7%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
7%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.6%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
33.6%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
+32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brisbane Roar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2006 |
NEW
0 - 5
BRI
48%
27%
25%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2006 |
BRI
2 - 1
SYD
29%
25%
46%
|
65 | 77 | 12 | +1 |
| 15 Jan. 2006 |
BRI
0 - 1
MEL
40%
26%
34%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2006 |
PER
0 - 2
BRI
67%
20%
14%
|
64 | 75 | 11 | +1 |
| 01 Jan. 2006 |
ADE
4 - 2
BRI
64%
22%
14%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Central Coast Mariners
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2006 |
CCM
3 - 1
MEL
48%
25%
27%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2006 |
ADE
1 - 1
CCM
46%
26%
28%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2006 |
SYD
1 - 1
CCM
48%
25%
27%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2006 |
CCM
1 - 0
NZK
77%
16%
7%
|
73 | 57 | 16 | +1 |
| 31 Dec. 2005 |
CCM
4 - 1
NEW
56%
24%
20%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |