Brisbane Roar vs Beijing Guoan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.8%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
35.5%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brisbane Roar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2015 |
CCM
0 - 2
BRI
38%
27%
35%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2015 |
NEW
1 - 2
BRI
36%
27%
37%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2015 |
BRI
3 - 2
WPH
43%
26%
31%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | +1 |
| 04 Jan. 2015 |
WPH
3 - 0
BRI
46%
26%
29%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Dec. 2014 |
BRI
0 - 0
SYD
47%
25%
27%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Beijing Guoan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2015 |
BEI
3 - 0
BAN
73%
18%
10%
|
80 | 61 | 19 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
BEI
0 - 0
HEN
70%
19%
11%
|
80 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
GUA
0 - 1
BEI
62%
20%
18%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
HAN
1 - 2
BEI
29%
27%
45%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
BEI
2 - 1
SHA
73%
18%
9%
|
79 | 63 | 16 | +1 |