Brisbane Roar vs Adelaide United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.6%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.9%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.5%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
53.1%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.3%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.1%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brisbane Roar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2020 |
SYD
1 - 0
BRI
73%
18%
10%
|
63 | 79 | 16 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2020 |
CCM
0 - 1
BRI
44%
24%
32%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2020 |
BRI
1 - 0
WPH
34%
25%
41%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2020 |
BRI
2 - 2
MCI
19%
22%
59%
|
62 | 76 | 14 | +1 |
| 01 Jan. 2020 |
WES
1 - 2
BRI
58%
23%
19%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Adelaide United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2020 |
ADE
3 - 1
MCI
40%
25%
36%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
WUF
3 - 4
ADE
49%
24%
28%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2020 |
ADE
1 - 0
MEL
56%
23%
22%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2020 |
PER
3 - 0
ADE
49%
24%
27%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | -1 |
| 04 Jan. 2020 |
SYD
2 - 1
ADE
50%
25%
25%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |