Brisbane Roar vs Adelaide United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.4%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.5%
1-0
9%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.5%
27%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
47.6%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
13.3%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.3%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brisbane Roar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2019 |
BRI
1 - 6
NEW
36%
26%
39%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2019 |
BRI
2 - 1
WPH
32%
25%
44%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 2019 |
MCI
4 - 1
BRI
61%
22%
17%
|
62 | 73 | 11 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2019 |
BRI
1 - 3
SYD
18%
24%
59%
|
61 | 77 | 16 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2019 |
MEL
2 - 1
BRI
64%
20%
16%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Adelaide United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2019 |
ADE
1 - 0
MEL
43%
25%
32%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2019 |
MCI
0 - 0
ADE
45%
26%
29%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2019 |
ADE
3 - 1
WPH
50%
24%
26%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 2019 |
CCM
0 - 1
ADE
23%
26%
51%
|
73 | 57 | 16 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2019 |
ADE
0 - 2
PER
33%
25%
42%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | 0 |