Brisbane Roar vs Adelaide United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.2%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.8%
1-0
10%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
36.2%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brisbane Roar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2018 |
BRI
0 - 1
NEW
42%
25%
33%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2018 |
MEL
1 - 2
BRI
53%
24%
23%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
BRI
1 - 2
MCI
33%
25%
42%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2018 |
CCM
1 - 2
BRI
37%
26%
37%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2018 |
BRI
2 - 3
CER
92%
7%
2%
|
69 | 28 | 41 | 0 |
Matches
Adelaide United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2018 |
MEL
3 - 0
ADE
39%
26%
35%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2018 |
ADE
2 - 2
CCM
64%
21%
15%
|
77 | 64 | 13 | -2 |
| 03 Feb. 2018 |
ADE
2 - 1
PER
50%
25%
26%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | +3 |
| 27 Jan. 2018 |
WPH
0 - 1
ADE
39%
26%
35%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
MCI
5 - 0
ADE
46%
26%
28%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | -1 |