Brisbane Roar vs Adelaide United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.7%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.2%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
20.6%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brisbane Roar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan. 2014 |
MEL
0 - 3
BRI
43%
25%
32%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2013 |
SYD
2 - 5
BRI
39%
26%
35%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 Dec. 2013 |
BRI
0 - 2
NEW
62%
22%
16%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | -1 |
| 14 Dec. 2013 |
WPH
1 - 2
BRI
30%
27%
43%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2013 |
ADE
1 - 2
BRI
34%
27%
39%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Adelaide United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jan. 2014 |
ADE
2 - 2
SYD
47%
26%
27%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2013 |
ADE
1 - 0
NEW
51%
25%
24%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2013 |
PER
0 - 0
ADE
44%
26%
30%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2013 |
ADE
4 - 0
CCM
37%
27%
36%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | +1 |
| 06 Dec. 2013 |
ADE
1 - 2
BRI
34%
27%
39%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | 0 |