Brisbane Roar II vs Rochedale Rovers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.9%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.6%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.8%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.4%
38.8%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
11.5%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-43%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
27
6º
11º
9º
30
5º
12º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
48 | 48 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
38 | 38 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
36 | 36 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 35 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
34 | 34 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 34 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
|
7º
|
30 | 30 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
29 | 29 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
27 | 27 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
26 | 26 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
19 | 19 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
9 | 9 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brisbane Roar II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
BRR
1 - 0
OLY
17%
18%
65%
|
23 | 35 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
BRR
0 - 1
QUE
9%
14%
77%
|
23 | 46 | 23 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2023 |
PEN
2 - 2
BRR
77%
14%
9%
|
23 | 35 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
GOL
0 - 0
BRR
75%
15%
10%
|
22 | 34 | 12 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
BRR
0 - 1
BRI
34%
22%
44%
|
23 | 27 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Rochedale Rovers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
BRI
4 - 0
ROC
54%
21%
26%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
SUN
1 - 0
ROC
59%
20%
21%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
RED
1 - 2
ROC
40%
21%
39%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
MOR
2 - 0
ROC
64%
18%
18%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
ROC
0 - 1
EAS
48%
22%
30%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | -2 |