Brisbane Roar II vs Northern Fury analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.5%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.4%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
7%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.9%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
9%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.5%
23.1%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brisbane Roar II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jul. 2017 |
PAL
4 - 0
BRR
90%
8%
3%
|
16 | 39 | 23 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2017 |
BRR
7 - 2
SUN
87%
9%
4%
|
16 | 8 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2017 |
BRR
0 - 3
BRI
20%
19%
61%
|
17 | 24 | 7 | -1 |
| 02 Jul. 2017 |
SWQ
3 - 1
BRR
58%
19%
22%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2017 |
FNQ
1 - 0
BRR
85%
10%
5%
|
17 | 29 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Northern Fury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jul. 2017 |
NOF
1 - 5
BRI
9%
13%
78%
|
17 | 36 | 19 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2017 |
NOF
1 - 5
WES
19%
19%
62%
|
18 | 27 | 9 | -1 |
| 15 Jul. 2017 |
PAL
2 - 2
NOF
89%
8%
3%
|
17 | 39 | 22 | +1 |
| 08 Jul. 2017 |
SWQ
0 - 3
NOF
66%
17%
17%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 Jul. 2017 |
NOF
1 - 2
RED
31%
20%
49%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | -1 |