Brisbane Roar U21 vs Moreton City Excelsior analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.6%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.9%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
13%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.6%
57.8%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
17.4%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
10.3%
0-4
3%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.9%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+95%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
24
7º
10º
7º
48
1º
5º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
58 | 58 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
48 | 51 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
47 | 47 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
42 | 42 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
35 | 35 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
26 | 26 |
6º
|
87% | |
|
|
7º
|
24 | 24 |
7º
|
70.5% | |
|
8º
|
23 | 23 |
8º
|
70.5% | |
|
9º
|
22 | 22 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
20 | 20 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
16 | 16 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
9 | 9 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brisbane Roar U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2024 |
BRR
2 - 3
BRI
36%
22%
42%
|
29 | 32 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2024 |
SUN
3 - 0
BRR
57%
20%
23%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
BRR
1 - 1
GOL
32%
23%
45%
|
29 | 36 | 7 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
BRR
3 - 2
OLY
39%
22%
39%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | +2 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
ROC
1 - 5
BRR
56%
21%
23%
|
25 | 29 | 4 | +2 |
Matches
Moreton City Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2024 |
MOR
1 - 1
OLY
68%
17%
16%
|
39 | 31 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2024 |
MOR
2 - 0
ROC
73%
15%
12%
|
38 | 27 | 11 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
PEN
0 - 0
MOR
49%
23%
28%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
MOR
2 - 3
GCK
25%
24%
51%
|
37 | 47 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2024 |
RED
0 - 1
MOR
20%
19%
61%
|
36 | 24 | 12 | +1 |