Brisbane City vs Gold Coast United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.6%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.6%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.4%
35.6%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
18%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-59%
-55%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
20
3º
10º
10º
23
2º
8º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
58 | 58 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
48 | 51 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
47 | 47 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
42 | 42 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
35 | 35 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
26 | 26 |
6º
|
87% | |
|
7º
|
24 | 24 |
7º
|
70.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
23 | 23 |
8º
|
70.5% | |
|
9º
|
22 | 22 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
20 | 20 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
16 | 16 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
9 | 9 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
0% | 13% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 87% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brisbane City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jun. 2024 |
SUN
2 - 1
BRI
52%
21%
27%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2024 |
BRR
2 - 3
BRI
36%
22%
42%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
BRI
0 - 4
OLY
61%
19%
20%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
ROC
0 - 8
BRI
44%
22%
34%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | +2 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
BRI
2 - 4
PEN
34%
22%
44%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Gold Coast United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
GCK
5 - 1
GOL
72%
18%
10%
|
37 | 50 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2024 |
GOL
0 - 0
SUN
43%
23%
34%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
BRR
1 - 1
GOL
32%
23%
45%
|
36 | 29 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
GOL
3 - 2
QUE
21%
23%
56%
|
34 | 42 | 8 | +2 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
OLY
0 - 0
GOL
35%
23%
41%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | 0 |