Brisbane City vs Gold Coast Knights analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.9%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.9%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.5%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
50.3%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
15.2%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
8.3%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-49%
+16%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
35
1º
6º
4º
48
1º
12º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
48 | 48 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
38 | 38 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
36 | 36 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
35 | 35 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
34 | 34 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 34 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
30 | 30 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
29 | 29 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
27 | 27 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
26 | 26 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
19 | 19 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
9 | 9 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
100% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brisbane City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
BRI
4 - 0
ROC
54%
21%
26%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
BRI
2 - 2
OLY
33%
22%
45%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
QUE
6 - 3
BRI
82%
12%
6%
|
29 | 45 | 16 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
PEN
0 - 2
BRI
67%
17%
15%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | +2 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
BRR
0 - 1
BRI
34%
22%
44%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Gold Coast Knights
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
GCK
1 - 1
SUN
50%
24%
27%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
RED
0 - 3
GCK
18%
19%
63%
|
39 | 22 | 17 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
GCK
2 - 2
MOR
52%
22%
26%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
EAS
0 - 1
GCK
27%
22%
52%
|
38 | 29 | 9 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 2023 |
GCK
0 - 3
GOL
62%
20%
18%
|
40 | 32 | 8 | -2 |