Brisbane City vs FNQ Heat analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.3%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
0.1%
+3
2.7%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.9%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
13.6%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.1%
55.6%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
4.9%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
2.8%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
16.5%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
10%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
4.9%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brisbane City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
WES
4 - 2
BRI
28%
20%
52%
|
23 | 18 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
BRI
1 - 0
SUN
58%
20%
22%
|
23 | 22 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
BRI
3 - 2
OLY
16%
18%
67%
|
21 | 32 | 11 | +2 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
SWQ
1 - 2
BRI
8%
13%
79%
|
22 | 9 | 13 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
BRI
1 - 3
MOR
27%
21%
52%
|
23 | 35 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
FNQ Heat
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
FNQ
4 - 1
NOF
80%
13%
8%
|
32 | 20 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
FNQ
1 - 1
PAL
40%
22%
39%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
WES
1 - 2
FNQ
14%
17%
69%
|
33 | 17 | 16 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
FNQ
4 - 0
SUN
74%
14%
12%
|
34 | 22 | 12 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
OLY
1 - 3
FNQ
63%
18%
20%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | +2 |