Brinkumer SV vs Werder Bremen III analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59%
Win probability
2.49
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
3.3%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
17.1%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
5.4%
4-3
1.7%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.6%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
18.6%
22.4%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+90%
+70%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
13
1º
5º
4º
9
4º
11º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
4º
|
10 | 70 |
1º
|
53% | |
|
1º
|
15 | 64 |
2º
|
26.5% | |
|
2º
|
15 | 62 |
3º
|
26% | |
|
|
3º
|
13 | 50 |
4º
|
19% | |
|
12º
|
6 | 49 |
5º
|
18.5% | |
|
15º
|
4 | 47 |
6º
|
16% | |
|
9º
|
8 | 46 |
7º
|
11.5% | |
|
7º
|
8 | 45 |
8º
|
9.5% | |
|
10º
|
7 | 41 |
9º
|
13% | |
|
|
6º
|
9 | 41 |
10º
|
13.5% | |
|
5º
|
9 | 35 |
11º
|
16% | |
|
14º
|
5 | 30 |
12º
|
11.5% | |
|
13º
|
6 | 28 |
13º
|
13% | |
|
11º
|
7 | 26 |
14º
|
15.5% | |
|
8º
|
8 | 26 |
15º
|
24.5% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 16 |
16º
|
65% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
1% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
99% | 96% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 4% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brinkumer SV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
HAB
0 - 1
BRI
28%
19%
53%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
BRI
3 - 1
OSC
24%
19%
57%
|
30 | 40 | 10 | +3 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
VAT
3 - 2
BRI
20%
18%
61%
|
30 | 21 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
BRI
6 - 0
BTN
29%
21%
50%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | +4 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
OBE
2 - 2
BRI
80%
12%
9%
|
26 | 39 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Werder Bremen III
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2024 |
WER
2 - 0
WOL
56%
19%
25%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
BLU
1 - 2
WER
63%
17%
19%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | +3 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
WER
2 - 2
UNI
34%
21%
46%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2024 |
OBE
2 - 2
WER
80%
12%
8%
|
26 | 39 | 13 | +1 |
| 08 Jun. 2024 |
WER
4 - 2
ATS
89%
7%
4%
|
26 | 13 | 13 | 0 |