Brinkumer SV vs Vatan Sport analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.3%
Win probability
3.01
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.1%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.6%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
5.7%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
3.7%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
10.4%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
6.2%
5-2
2.1%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
16%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.4%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.1%
13.7%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
5.4%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
13.7%
10.9%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+127%
+8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
35
1º
5º
3º
17
6º
15º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
41 | 73 |
1º
|
96% | |
|
2º
|
37 | 63 |
2º
|
63.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
35 | 58 |
3º
|
42% | |
|
5º
|
29 | 55 |
4º
|
33% | |
|
7º
|
26 | 47 |
5º
|
20.5% | |
|
4º
|
29 | 46 |
6º
|
15.5% | |
|
6º
|
27 | 45 |
7º
|
17% | |
|
10º
|
20 | 43 |
8º
|
16% | |
|
15º
|
16 | 40 |
9º
|
13% | |
|
9º
|
22 | 40 |
10º
|
13.5% | |
|
8º
|
22 | 37 |
11º
|
19% | |
|
11º
|
17 | 32 |
12º
|
15% | |
|
13º
|
17 | 32 |
13º
|
23% | |
|
14º
|
16 | 30 |
14º
|
23.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
17 | 28 |
15º
|
33.5% | |
|
16º
|
3 | 8 |
16º
|
99.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
99.5% | 66% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 34% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brinkumer SV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2024 |
VAB
0 - 5
BRI
11%
15%
75%
|
39 | 20 | 19 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2024 |
BRI
1 - 5
SGA
60%
18%
22%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 2024 |
GEE
1 - 1
BRI
63%
18%
19%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
BRI
1 - 2
SVH
19%
18%
63%
|
40 | 50 | 10 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
EHB
1 - 4
BRI
35%
20%
46%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | +2 |
Matches
Vatan Sport
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
VAT
2 - 2
BLU
24%
20%
57%
|
27 | 38 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2024 |
UNI
4 - 2
VAT
74%
14%
12%
|
28 | 38 | 10 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 2024 |
VAT
4 - 3
WER
36%
21%
42%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | +2 |
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
HAB
3 - 5
VAT
53%
20%
28%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
VAT
5 - 5
OSC
9%
13%
78%
|
23 | 45 | 22 | +2 |