Brinkumer SV vs TuS Komet Arsten analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
87%
Win probability
3.51
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.8%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.1%
7-0
1.8%
8-1
0.6%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.5%
6-0
3.6%
7-1
1.4%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
5.3%
5-0
6.2%
6-1
2.8%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
9.5%
4-0
8.8%
5-1
4.7%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
14.7%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
6.7%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.9%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.3%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.1%
8.5%
Draw
0-0
1.4%
1-1
3.7%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
8.5%
4.4%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
1.1%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
3.3%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+77%
+1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
9º
15º
11º
24
7º
15º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
69 | 72 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
65 | 68 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
62 | 63 |
3º
|
58% | |
|
4º
|
60 | 63 |
4º
|
58% | |
|
5º
|
50 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 44 |
7º
|
82% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 40 |
8º
|
67.5% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 38 |
9º
|
69.5% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
84% | |
|
|
12º
|
33 | 34 |
11º
|
34.5% | |
|
11º
|
34 | 34 |
12º
|
34.5% | |
|
13º
|
28 | 28 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
24 | 25 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
20 | 20 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
15 | 15 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brinkumer SV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
VAT
0 - 4
BRI
22%
19%
59%
|
30 | 22 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
BRI
2 - 3
OSC
53%
19%
28%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
WER
1 - 1
BRI
6%
11%
83%
|
31 | 10 | 21 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
BRI
1 - 6
GEE
62%
18%
21%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | -2 |
| 09 Dec. 2022 |
OBE
5 - 1
BRI
36%
21%
43%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | -3 |
Matches
TuS Komet Arsten
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
TKA
1 - 0
TSS
26%
22%
53%
|
15 | 19 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
SVH
11 - 0
TKA
90%
7%
3%
|
15 | 32 | 17 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
TKA
1 - 2
BLU
30%
21%
49%
|
15 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
SCH
4 - 0
TKA
80%
12%
8%
|
15 | 25 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
BRE
6 - 3
TKA
90%
8%
3%
|
16 | 41 | 25 | -1 |