Brinkumer SV vs Sparta Bremerhaven analysis


25	ELO	35
16.8%	Tilt	22%
10756º	General ELO ranking	23761º
576º	Country ELO ranking	1181º
ELO win probability

23.5%

Brinkumer SV

22.1%

Draw

54.3%

Sparta Bremerhaven

Possible results

Probability of each exact result

Probability of each margin of victory

23.5%
Win probability

                        
                    
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.2%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.4%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.2%

22.1%

Draw

0-0

4.4%

1-1

10.1%

2-2

5.9%

3-3

1.5%

4-4

0.2%

5-5

<0%

0

22.1%

54.3%
Win probability

                        
                    
1.93
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.8%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
16.5%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.9%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

ELO progression

Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Brinkumer SV

	1% X% 2%	ELO	ELO Cont.	▵ELO	±ELO
07 Sep. 2012	SCH 1 - 1 BRI 24% 21% 55%	21	15	6	0
02 Sep. 2012	UNI 1 - 1 BRI 61% 19% 19%	21	28	7	0
09 Jun. 2012	BRI 2 - 2 SGA 11% 16% 73%	19	39	20	+2
03 Jun. 2012	WUL 3 - 2 BRI 18% 20% 61%	20	14	6	-1
18 May. 2012	BRI 3 - 3 BUR 74% 15% 11%	20	15	5	0