Brindisi vs Acerrana 1926 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.2%
Win probability
2.82
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.7%
5-0
4.4%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.1%
4-0
7.9%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.5%
3-0
11.2%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.8%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.8%
12.4%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.4%
6.5%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
4.9%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
+33%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
1
9º
12º
10º
1
16º
17º
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
17º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
8º
|
3 | 65 |
1º
|
27% | |
|
4º
|
4 | 59 |
2º
|
12.5% | |
|
2º
|
6 | 59 |
3º
|
10% | |
|
6º
|
3 | 58 |
4º
|
12.5% | |
|
11º
|
2 | 58 |
5º
|
12.5% | |
|
5º
|
4 | 57 |
6º
|
8.5% | |
|
3º
|
6 | 55 |
7º
|
10.5% | |
|
7º
|
3 | 53 |
8º
|
6% | |
|
10º
|
3 | 52 |
9º
|
11% | |
|
|
14º
|
1 | 50 |
10º
|
6.5% | |
|
9º
|
3 | 48 |
11º
|
6% | |
|
1º
|
6 | 46 |
12º
|
7.5% | |
|
12º
|
1 | 44 |
13º
|
11% | |
|
13º
|
1 | 44 |
14º
|
12% | |
|
15º
|
1 | 35 |
15º
|
25% | |
|
16º
|
1 | 22 |
16º
|
21% | |
|
|
17º
|
1 | 22 |
17º
|
28% | |
|
18º
|
0 | 20 |
18º
|
44.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
3% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
25% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
57% | 5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
12.5% | 14% |
|
Relegation
|
2.5% | 81% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brindisi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
FIA
0 - 0
BRI
54%
25%
21%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
BRI
0 - 1
ISC
55%
23%
22%
|
47 | 40 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
BRI
1 - 2
TUR
32%
27%
41%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
PIC
0 - 0
BRI
63%
23%
15%
|
47 | 58 | 11 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
BRI
2 - 0
SOR
30%
29%
41%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Acerrana 1926
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
ACE
1 - 1
VIR
16%
22%
61%
|
6 | 50 | 44 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
PAL
2 - 0
ACE
88%
8%
4%
|
7 | 47 | 40 | -1 |