Brindisi vs Novara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.3%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.4%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.3%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22.5%
30.5%
Draw
0-0
13%
1-1
13.5%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
30.5%
32.3%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
12.7%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brindisi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 1976 |
TER
3 - 1
BRI
70%
22%
8%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1976 |
TAR
0 - 0
BRI
54%
30%
16%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1976 |
BRI
1 - 0
VAR
26%
29%
45%
|
54 | 68 | 14 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 1976 |
VIC
1 - 1
BRI
77%
17%
6%
|
53 | 66 | 13 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 1976 |
BRI
1 - 1
USF
37%
32%
31%
|
53 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 1976 |
NOV
0 - 0
BRE
53%
28%
19%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1976 |
VAR
0 - 0
NOV
64%
23%
13%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1976 |
NOV
3 - 0
REG
64%
24%
12%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 1976 |
NOV
2 - 0
ATL
53%
28%
19%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Apr. 1976 |
CAT
0 - 1
NOV
45%
30%
25%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | +1 |