Brighton & Hove U23 vs Derby County U23 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.8%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
21.6%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-38%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brighton & Hove U23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2022 |
WHU
3 - 2
BHA
60%
22%
19%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2022 |
BHA
4 - 2
EVE
37%
25%
38%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 2022 |
CPA
2 - 0
BHA
62%
21%
18%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2022 |
BLA
6 - 0
BHA
44%
24%
32%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | -2 |
| 21 Jan. 2022 |
BHA
1 - 2
MUN
43%
24%
33%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Derby County U23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2022 |
BLA
2 - 1
DER
60%
20%
20%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2022 |
DER
0 - 0
LEI
37%
25%
39%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2022 |
MUN
5 - 2
DER
65%
19%
16%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2022 |
DER
0 - 2
EVE
42%
24%
34%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 2022 |
DER
0 - 5
MCI
18%
21%
61%
|
46 | 57 | 11 | -1 |