FA Cup 1/64
Global 5-1
Brighton & Hove Albion vs United of Manchester analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.2%
Win probability
2.45
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.2%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.1%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
15.4%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.3%
8.4%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.3%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brighton & Hove Albion
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2010 |
SOU
0 - 0
BHA
62%
23%
15%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2010 |
BHA
2 - 2
BRO
60%
22%
18%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2010 |
WOK
2 - 2
BHA
20%
26%
54%
|
65 | 48 | 17 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2010 |
HAR
3 - 1
BHA
39%
27%
34%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2010 |
BHA
0 - 0
WOK
77%
16%
8%
|
67 | 48 | 19 | -1 |
Matches
United of Manchester
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2010 |
UNM
1 - 2
HIN
42%
23%
36%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2010 |
COL
3 - 1
UNM
53%
23%
24%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | -2 |
| 13 Nov. 2010 |
NOR
1 - 0
UNM
61%
21%
18%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2010 |
ROC
2 - 3
UNM
75%
16%
9%
|
40 | 61 | 21 | +2 |
| 30 Oct. 2010 |
UNM
2 - 1
COL
43%
23%
35%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | +1 |