FA Cup 1/32
Global 2-1
Brighton & Hove Albion vs Newcastle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73%
Win probability
2.54
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.7%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.1%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.7%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.1%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
15.9%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.9%
11.1%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brighton & Hove Albion
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jan. 1983 |
BHA
1 - 1
NTT
38%
27%
36%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1983 |
BHA
1 - 1
WAT
51%
25%
24%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 1982 |
TOT
2 - 0
BHA
71%
18%
12%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 1982 |
BHA
0 - 1
SOU
44%
26%
31%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 Dec. 1982 |
MAC
1 - 1
BHA
62%
21%
17%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jan. 1983 |
NEW
2 - 2
BOL
58%
26%
17%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1983 |
NEW
2 - 2
CUM
52%
26%
23%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 1982 |
GRI
2 - 2
NEW
54%
25%
21%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 1982 |
NEW
1 - 0
DER
53%
25%
22%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 1982 |
SHW
1 - 1
NEW
64%
21%
15%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |