EFL Cup 1/64
Global 2-3
Brighton & Hove Albion vs Millwall analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.5%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.3%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.4%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
36.3%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brighton & Hove Albion
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2000 |
BHA
2 - 1
ROC
54%
24%
22%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2000 |
SOU
2 - 0
BHA
42%
28%
31%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2000 |
BHA
1 - 0
CUM
67%
20%
14%
|
53 | 43 | 10 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 2000 |
STF
1 - 2
BHA
38%
28%
34%
|
53 | 43 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2000 |
BHA
0 - 0
POS
52%
25%
24%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Millwall
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2000 |
NOT
3 - 4
MIL
38%
27%
35%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2000 |
MIL
2 - 0
REA
51%
25%
24%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2000 |
MIL
1 - 0
OXF
66%
21%
14%
|
61 | 47 | 14 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 2000 |
PNE
3 - 2
MIL
59%
23%
18%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2000 |
MIL
2 - 2
GIL
38%
28%
34%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | 0 |