Brighton & Hove Albion vs Derby County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.3%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.7%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.6%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
39.3%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.5%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brighton & Hove Albion
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2005 |
CAR
1 - 1
BHA
62%
23%
15%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2005 |
BHA
2 - 3
CRY
17%
23%
60%
|
59 | 76 | 17 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2005 |
STO
3 - 0
BHA
52%
26%
21%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2005 |
BHA
1 - 1
WOL
23%
25%
51%
|
60 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2005 |
BHA
1 - 1
IPS
26%
26%
48%
|
60 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Derby County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2005 |
STO
1 - 2
DER
42%
27%
31%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2005 |
DER
0 - 3
WOL
39%
25%
36%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2005 |
SHW
2 - 1
DER
38%
26%
36%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 2005 |
DER
3 - 3
IPS
45%
25%
30%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2005 |
DER
1 - 2
QPR
57%
23%
20%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |