Brighton & Hove Albion vs Derby County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.2%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.4%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.2%
14.6%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brighton & Hove Albion
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 1983 |
BHA
1 - 2
CHL
69%
20%
12%
|
77 | 63 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1983 |
LEE
3 - 2
BHA
47%
27%
25%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 1983 |
OLD
1 - 0
BHA
40%
28%
32%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | -1 |
| 26 May. 1983 |
MUD
4 - 0
BHA
63%
22%
14%
|
79 | 88 | 9 | -1 |
| 21 May. 1983 |
MUD
2 - 2
BHA
64%
22%
14%
|
79 | 88 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Derby County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 1983 |
DER
2 - 1
SWA
44%
27%
29%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1983 |
DER
1 - 1
SHW
52%
25%
22%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 1983 |
CHL
5 - 0
DER
50%
26%
24%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | -1 |
| 14 May. 1983 |
DER
1 - 0
FUL
58%
23%
19%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1983 |
CRY
4 - 1
DER
43%
28%
29%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | -1 |