Brighton & Hove Albion vs Crawley Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.5%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.9%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.7%
3-0
11.3%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.9%
2-0
14.5%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
15.8%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
15.8%
7.8%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brighton & Hove Albion
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
BHA
2 - 1
MUD
26%
24%
50%
|
91 | 95 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
EVE
0 - 3
BHA
31%
25%
44%
|
91 | 89 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
BHA
4 - 0
VIL
39%
24%
37%
|
91 | 90 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
QPR
0 - 1
BHA
15%
20%
65%
|
91 | 71 | 20 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
TOK
2 - 4
BHA
16%
21%
63%
|
91 | 75 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Crawley Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
WIG
1 - 0
CRA
43%
27%
30%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2024 |
CRA
2 - 2
BHA
67%
17%
16%
|
66 | 50 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
CAM
0 - 1
CRA
23%
25%
52%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2024 |
CRA
4 - 2
SWI
63%
19%
18%
|
65 | 55 | 10 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
CRA
2 - 1
BPO
38%
27%
35%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | +1 |