FA Cup 1/128
Global 3-2
Brighton & Hove Albion vs Cheltenham Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.9%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
19.5%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brighton & Hove Albion
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2007 |
LEY
2 - 2
BHA
49%
26%
25%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2007 |
BHA
4 - 1
CHE
55%
24%
21%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 2007 |
CHE
1 - 1
BHA
41%
26%
32%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2007 |
BHA
1 - 1
WAL
51%
26%
23%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2007 |
BHA
3 - 1
LUT
37%
27%
37%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Cheltenham Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2007 |
SOU
2 - 2
CHE
66%
21%
13%
|
54 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2007 |
BHA
4 - 1
CHE
55%
24%
21%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 2007 |
CHE
1 - 1
BHA
41%
26%
32%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2007 |
CHE
1 - 1
YEO
34%
26%
40%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2007 |
WAL
2 - 0
CHE
52%
25%
23%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | -1 |