Brighton & Hove Albion vs Carlisle United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.4%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.5%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.5%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18.8%
10.8%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brighton & Hove Albion
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 1983 |
SWA
1 - 3
BHA
53%
25%
22%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1983 |
BHA
1 - 0
DER
64%
21%
15%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 1983 |
BHA
1 - 2
CHL
69%
20%
12%
|
78 | 64 | 14 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 1983 |
LEE
3 - 2
BHA
47%
27%
25%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 1983 |
OLD
1 - 0
BHA
40%
28%
32%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Carlisle United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 1983 |
CUM
1 - 0
STF
53%
25%
22%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1983 |
CHA
1 - 0
CUM
61%
21%
18%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1983 |
SHW
2 - 0
CUM
66%
20%
14%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 1983 |
CUM
0 - 1
BBU
56%
24%
20%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 1983 |
CUM
0 - 0
CAM
59%
23%
18%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |