Brighton & Hove Albion vs Brentford analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.5%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
24%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
25.6%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
34
1º
10º
9º
31
6º
13º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
56 | 91 |
1º
|
95.5% | |
|
2º
|
50 | 79 |
2º
|
70.5% | |
|
5º
|
41 | 73 |
3º
|
52% | |
|
4º
|
43 | 67 |
4º
|
36.5% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 62 |
5º
|
24% | |
|
3º
|
47 | 62 |
6º
|
22% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 58 |
7º
|
29% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 55 |
8º
|
17.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
34 | 52 |
9º
|
15% | |
|
14º
|
27 | 51 |
10º
|
15.5% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 51 |
11º
|
15.5% | |
|
13º
|
29 | 50 |
12º
|
13.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
31 | 49 |
13º
|
16.5% | |
|
12º
|
30 | 48 |
14º
|
20.5% | |
|
15º
|
27 | 46 |
15º
|
18% | |
|
16º
|
26 | 41 |
16º
|
35.5% | |
|
17º
|
19 | 34 |
17º
|
50% | |
|
18º
|
17 | 29 |
18º
|
40.5% | |
|
19º
|
16 | 28 |
19º
|
43% | |
|
20º
|
9 | 21 |
20º
|
82% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Champions League
|
0.5% | 0% |
|
Europa League
|
2.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
97% | 99.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brighton & Hove Albion
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 2024 |
WHU
1 - 1
BHA
42%
24%
34%
|
91 | 90 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
BHA
1 - 3
CRY
51%
24%
24%
|
91 | 90 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2024 |
LEI
2 - 2
BHA
26%
24%
50%
|
92 | 87 | 5 | -1 |
| 05 Dec. 2024 |
FUL
3 - 1
BHA
34%
25%
42%
|
92 | 90 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2024 |
BHA
1 - 1
SOU
68%
19%
13%
|
92 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Brentford
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 2024 |
BRE
0 - 2
NTT
58%
22%
20%
|
89 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2024 |
NEW
3 - 1
BRE
56%
23%
21%
|
90 | 93 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
CHL
2 - 1
BRE
66%
20%
14%
|
90 | 95 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2024 |
BRE
4 - 2
NEW
33%
24%
43%
|
90 | 93 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2024 |
ASV
3 - 1
BRE
54%
23%
23%
|
90 | 91 | 1 | 0 |