Brighton & Hove Albion vs Aston Villa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.7%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.3%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
60%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
11%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.5%
0-3
6.8%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
10.1%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
4.4%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brighton & Hove Albion
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 1906 |
MID
3 - 1
BHA
76%
14%
10%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 1906 |
MID
1 - 1
BHA
77%
14%
9%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 1906 |
BHA
1 - 1
MID
43%
24%
33%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 1910 |
ASV
1 - 1
OLD
82%
12%
6%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1910 |
LIV
2 - 0
ASV
53%
22%
25%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 1910 |
ASV
4 - 0
NEW
63%
19%
18%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1910 |
NOT
2 - 3
ASV
44%
25%
32%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 1910 |
ARS
1 - 0
ASV
31%
27%
42%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | -1 |