Brightlingsea Regent vs Merstham analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.3%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
27%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brightlingsea Regent
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2018 |
LEA
2 - 1
BRI
57%
21%
22%
|
33 | 40 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2018 |
BRI
0 - 1
MAR
27%
26%
47%
|
34 | 43 | 9 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2018 |
FOL
3 - 2
BRI
63%
19%
18%
|
34 | 42 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2018 |
BRI
2 - 3
DOR
47%
24%
30%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | -1 |
| 20 Jan. 2018 |
KIN
0 - 1
BRI
43%
22%
35%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Merstham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2018 |
MER
0 - 1
TON
49%
23%
28%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2018 |
MER
1 - 0
LEI
29%
22%
50%
|
29 | 39 | 10 | +3 |
| 03 Feb. 2018 |
STA
4 - 2
MER
74%
15%
11%
|
30 | 41 | 11 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 2018 |
HAR
1 - 2
MER
50%
22%
28%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Jan. 2018 |
MER
2 - 1
THU
44%
23%
33%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | +1 |