Brestnik vs Nesebar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.3%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.2%
1-0
10%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
32.8%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brestnik
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
BRE
0 - 0
SVE
54%
23%
23%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
LYU
1 - 3
BRE
58%
24%
18%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
BRE
1 - 1
CHE
32%
25%
42%
|
47 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2011 |
NES
3 - 1
BRE
58%
23%
19%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
BRE
1 - 6
LUD
24%
26%
50%
|
48 | 61 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Nesebar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2011 |
NES
2 - 0
DOR
53%
25%
22%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
DOB
0 - 1
NES
25%
26%
49%
|
52 | 41 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
SVE
1 - 2
NES
36%
28%
36%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2011 |
NES
3 - 1
BRE
58%
23%
19%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2010 |
NES
0 - 1
LYU
53%
25%
22%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | 0 |