Brescia vs Vicenza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.3%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.4%
15.5%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brescia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 1950 |
SPA
2 - 1
BRE
56%
20%
23%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 May. 1950 |
REG
3 - 2
BRE
50%
22%
28%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | -1 |
| 07 May. 1950 |
BRE
0 - 1
VER
63%
18%
19%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1950 |
TAR
2 - 2
BRE
39%
25%
36%
|
71 | 51 | 20 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 1950 |
BRE
3 - 1
PRO
83%
11%
6%
|
71 | 37 | 34 | 0 |
Matches
Vicenza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 1950 |
VIC
2 - 1
USA
55%
22%
23%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 May. 1950 |
EMP
2 - 0
VIC
59%
21%
20%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 May. 1950 |
SPA
2 - 0
VIC
70%
17%
13%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1950 |
VIC
2 - 1
LIV
51%
23%
26%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1950 |
VIC
0 - 3
UNI
59%
21%
21%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | -1 |