Brescia vs Triestina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.7%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5.6%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
17.2%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.4%
29.5%
Draw
0-0
13.7%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
29.5%
21.7%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.1%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-37%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brescia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 1990 |
USF
3 - 1
BRE
53%
28%
18%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1990 |
BRE
0 - 1
PAR
43%
31%
27%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1990 |
PIS
2 - 1
BRE
72%
20%
9%
|
63 | 75 | 12 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 1990 |
BRE
1 - 1
REG
41%
30%
29%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 1990 |
CAG
0 - 0
BRE
60%
26%
14%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Triestina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 1990 |
TRI
2 - 1
PES
30%
28%
42%
|
60 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1990 |
PAD
1 - 1
TRI
55%
27%
18%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1990 |
TRI
2 - 2
SSB
51%
28%
22%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1990 |
MES
1 - 0
TRI
59%
25%
16%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 1990 |
TRI
2 - 2
PIS
30%
32%
38%
|
60 | 75 | 15 | 0 |