Brescia vs Triestina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.6%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
22.7%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brescia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 1946 |
BRE
1 - 0
FIO
42%
25%
33%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 1946 |
TOR
4 - 0
BRE
84%
11%
6%
|
74 | 89 | 15 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 1946 |
BRE
0 - 1
LIV
39%
24%
37%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1946 |
ROM
2 - 1
BRE
66%
19%
15%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 1946 |
BRE
1 - 1
ACM
37%
24%
39%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Triestina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 1946 |
JUV
4 - 0
TRI
84%
10%
6%
|
75 | 87 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 1946 |
TRI
0 - 0
INT
30%
28%
42%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 1946 |
MOD
0 - 1
TRI
58%
22%
20%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1946 |
NAP
2 - 0
TRI
55%
24%
22%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 1946 |
FIO
2 - 1
TRI
70%
17%
13%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | -1 |