Brescia vs Sassuolo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.6%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
26.2%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brescia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
ASC
3 - 1
BRE
38%
28%
33%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
SAM
2 - 0
BRE
58%
24%
18%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2012 |
BRE
2 - 1
VER
51%
27%
22%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2012 |
REG
1 - 1
BRE
47%
27%
26%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
BRE
2 - 1
GRO
60%
24%
16%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Sassuolo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
SAS
0 - 2
ASG
73%
19%
9%
|
72 | 55 | 17 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2012 |
SAS
0 - 0
MOD
60%
24%
17%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
GRO
2 - 2
SAS
36%
27%
37%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2012 |
SAS
1 - 0
EMP
61%
24%
16%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
ABN
2 - 3
SAS
30%
28%
42%
|
72 | 59 | 13 | 0 |